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Top 20 US stock turnover on December 12: Adobe's poor performance led to a sharp drop of 13.7%. On Thursday, Adobe, the fourth US stock turnover, closed down 13.69%, the biggest one-day drop in two years, with a turnover of 8.32 billion US dollars. The company's performance guidance fell short of market expectations, which aggravated investors' concerns that the creative software giant might be subverted by emerging artificial intelligence (AI) startups. The company expects revenue of $23.4 billion in fiscal year 2025, which is less than the $23.8 billion expected by analysts; Earnings per share are expected to be $20.20-$20.50, which is less than the analyst's expectation of $20.52. After Adobe announced its financial report and performance forecast, Bank of America Securities lowered its target price from $640 to $605, and Jefferies lowered its target price from $700 to $650. (Global Market Broadcast)The "construction drawing" of capital market reform in 2025 is clear, "expanding patient capital", "attracting social capital to participate in venture capital more vigorously", "deepening comprehensive reform of capital market investment and financing" and "expanding high-level opening up" ... The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11 to 12, and the economic work in 2025 was deployed. Many formulations and requirements are closely related to the capital market reform, development and stability in 2025. Experts said that in 2025, the capital market reform will continue to be comprehensively promoted, and it will become the focus to expand patient capital, deepen comprehensive reform of investment and financing, and expand high-level opening up. The "construction drawing" of the capital market reform has become clearer, and it is necessary to do a good job in the future to achieve results and further consolidate the "stable" foundation of the market. (CSI)Fitch: It is estimated that the sales growth rate of food, beverage, tobacco and consumer goods will be low in single digits in 2025.

From the United States to the week of December 5, foreign central banks held US Treasury bonds of-203 million US dollars, with the previous value of-6.157 billion US dollars.Goldman Sachs: We estimate that if the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of more than $50/barrel by the end of 2025, the growth rate of shale oil supply in the United States will fall below 100,000 barrels per day in 2025, which in turn will push the price of Brent crude oil up by $8 per barrel in 2025.Central Bank of Peru: Future interest rate decisions will depend on inflation data and its determinants.

Fitch: In 2025, the prospects of all segments of the US technology market are neutral. It is expected that the investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure and the PC update cycle will promote the single-digit growth in the semiconductor segment.Economic Daily: Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment and adjusting macro policies are related to the overall situation of national economic operation. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9th emphasized that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented, the policy toolbox should be enriched and improved, the unconventional countercyclical adjustment should be strengthened, and the policy "combination boxing" should be well played to improve the foresight, pertinence and effectiveness of macro-control. The formulation of "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment" has aroused widespread concern in the market. The experts interviewed generally believe that the meeting of the Politburo is the general policy of economic work in the future. A series of statements at the meeting exceeded expectations, and larger fiscal and financial policies and industrial cultivation policies, and more extensive measures to promote people's livelihood and consumption are expected to be introduced, and various departments and localities will also let go of their hands and feet at the implementation level.Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.